2008 saw plenty of star RBs emerge and some of the older ones start to recede a bit. LaDainian
Tomlinson was still very productive, but lacked the ultimate scoring he has shown for many years.
Clinton Portis faded down the stretch, Edgerrin James was benched and Larry Johnson failed to
reach 1,000 total yards again. Michael Turner became a starter and excelled, and three rookies
burst onto the scene in Matt Forte, Chris Johnson and Steve Slaton. This year's first round
will be considerably different than last year's, and here are some players who might crash the
party as well.
Ryan Grant
He won't be going in the first round, and he probably won't be a tope 10 RB, but he had an
excellent second half of his rookie year after taking over the starting job in Green Bay,
and had a disappointing 2008, but he still rushed for 1200 yards. His TD numbers were down,
but if he score more this year he becomes a valid RB2, and I promise you, not many people
are seeing him as a starting RB this year. The offense is powerful and if the defense can
play a little better, Grant will be used more to grind out the clock and his numbers will
reflect that.
Frank Gore
Mike Singletary is bringing a smash mouth style of football to San Francisco. This will
include a run early and often philosophy on offense, and Gore will reap the benefits.
He's rushed for over 1,000 yards each of the last three seasons, but hasn't had 300
attempts since his 1695 rushing yard 2006. He also caught 61 passes for 485 yards that
year, netting him over 2,000 yards of total offense in 2006. He should get those 300
carries again this year and have something around 50 receptions. He's never been a
scoring machine, and in this offense that isn't likely to change, but he should tally
plenty of yards again this year.
Maurice Jones-Drew
Jones-Drew says goodbye to Fred Taylor and hello to fantasy stardom. He's never had even
200 carries in a season but has always had over 1100 total yards, and has scored more
than 10 TDs in two of his three seasons. He is a great weapon out of the backfield,
is a hard runner, and has a nose for the end zone. His TD number shouldn't go up very
much, but that's fine as he already would be expected to hit double digits, but he should
rush for 1,000 yards for the first time in his career and add another 500 or so through
the air.
Derrick Ward
Ward had 1400 total yards last year, as a backup. He only scored two TDs, but that's no
surprise considering he shared the backfield with big Brandon Jacobs. Ward's 1,000
rishing yards came on only 182 carries. Expect Ward to get more carries in Tampa Bay
this year than he did in New York, and for his rushing yards and TDs to reflect that.
He was used liberally out of the backfield last year, and you should expect something
similar this year as well.
Pierre Thomas
When Pierre Thomas has gotten the chance to play in the NFL he has succeeded. This
offseason the Saints released Deuce McAllister and didn't sign anybody else. Knowing
that Reggie Bush isn't a 20-carry-a-game-inside-runner leads one to believe that
Thomas will get his chance again this year. He had 677 total yards and nine TDs
in the six games in which he was featured last year. That breaks out to 1800 total
yards and 24 TDs if you believe he can keep it up. Those numbers seem a little high,
especially considering Reggie Bush was hurt for some of those games, but Thomas
should post nice numbers for a RB2.
Darren McFadden
Here comes the hype mobile. The Raiders are a bad team and we shouldn't expect their
RB to do well. McFadden is electric and catches the ball well out of the backfield,
so he'll always be on the field and will be relevant despite big deficits. He was
decent enough last year when you consider his toe injuries, so I'm not ready to
write him off yet. If he can stay healthy there's reason to believe he'll surprise
some people this year.
Jonathan Stewart
Stewart was given lots of opportunity last year as a rookie, and if he stayed healthy
he would have had better numbers. He played all 16 games, but didn't play all of them.
In Week 16 he got hurt early and DeAngelo Williams handled all the carries that game,
en route to scoring four TDs and costing me my fourth super bowl in five years!
Stewart will continue to get a fair share of the carries, and could conceivably see
more as he will wear down defenses more than Williams will, which coincides with
John Fox's offensive strategy.